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2020 Presidential Election Projections


American Politics


Our look into possible outcomes of the 2020 Presidential race.
Below are early projections for the outcome of the United States Presidential election of 2020 utilizing data from presidential elections since 1960. The following projection assumes no 'Faithless Electors' and not third party candidates.


Model #2 (11/20/2019)
Winner's ribbon image graphic
Photograph of Presidend Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Republican

Occupation: Business
Running Mate: Mike Pence
Carried Home State (TBD): TBD
Incumbent Status: Yes
293
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
30 of 50 states carried (60%)


TBD
Popular Vote (TBD%)
245
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
20 of 50 states carried (40%) (+D.C.)


TBD
Popular Vote (TBD%)
Winner's ribbon image graphic
Photograph of an Unknown Candidate
TBD
Democrat

Occupation: TBD
Running Mate: TBD
Carried Home State (TBD): TBD
Incumbent Status: No
ELECTORAL MAP:


Projection of the 2020 U.S. presidential elections electoral map


STATE EC VOTES (538 TOTAL):
* Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do not follow the 'winner-take-all' rule regarding their Electoral Votes per candidate. This allows for a more proportional division of the claimed Electoral Votes. States with a historically high number of Electoral Votes are shown in YELLOW below. Any third party candidate wins (if applicable) are represented in ORANGE. See NOTES below for additional information.
293
245
Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arizona (11)
Arkansas (6)
California (55)
Colorado (9)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
Florida (29)
Georgia (16)
Hawaii (4)
Idaho (4)
Illinois (20)
Indiana (11)
Iowa (6)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Maine (4)*
Maine (0)*
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)
Nebraska (5)*
Nebraska (0)*
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
New York (29)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (18)
Oklahoma (7)
Oregon (7)
Pennsylvania (20)
Rhode Island (4)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (38)
Utah (6)
Vermont (3)
Virginia (13)
Washington (12)
West Virginia (5)
Wisconsin (10)
Wyoming (3)
Dictrict of Colombia (3)