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2024 Election Projection 2022 Approval Rating Interactive Electoral Map Voting Trends by State Favorability Index

Democratic Party Field


Presidential Candidates | 2024




The following showcase is presented under the assumption that Joe Biden does not seek reelection in the 2024 Presidential Campaign due to advancing age and failing health (he has been included below nonetheless), opening the door to these potential candidates the Democratic Party can field. Our algorithm showcases top possible candidates as of August 2022 to be Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (6.2%), Bernie Sanders (6.0%), and Pete Buttigieg (5.7%). For comparative analysis, Biden sits at a 5.6% in our results. AOC remains a long-shot candidate as the firebrand remains popular locally but trends relatively poorly nationally. Sanders is divisive with his approach to a Socialist America, turning off more Moderate Democrats of the party. Buttigieg brings youth and (some) experience gained as Biden's transport secretary but remains largely untested.

The group would have to defeat, on a national stage, the top Republican candidate amidst a backdrop of high inflation, high cost-of-living, and extremely low confidence in the current governing party (Democrats).
Kamala Harris (CA)
Local Support
38.0%
National Support
16.1%
Electability
3.4%
Bernie Sanders (VT)
Local Support
67.4%
National Support
13.1%
Electability
6.0%
Hillary Clinton (NY)
Local Support
49.2%
National Support
20.2%
Electability
3.4%
Joe Biden (DE)
Local Support
68.0%
National Support
14.5%
Electability
5.6%
Pete Buttigieg (IN)
Local Support
74.0%
National Support
2.5%
Electability
5.7%
Elizabeth Warren (MA)
Local Support
60.3%
National Support
7.7%
Electability
4.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY)
Local Support
75.0%
National Support
10.0%
Electability
6.2%
Phil Murphy (NJ)
Local Support
51.2%
National Support
12.8%
Electability
4.8%
Jared Polis (CO)
Local Support
53.4%
National Support
13.4%
Electability
4.8%
Amy Klobuchar (MN)
Local Support
60.3%
National Support
1.4%
Electability
4.6%
Gavin Newsom (CA)
Local Support
56.3%
National Support
6.4%
Electability
4.1%
J.B. Pritzker (IL)
Local Support
54.5%
National Support
1.0%
Electability
3.8%
Gretchen Whitmer (MI)
Local Support
53.3%
National Support
1.5%
Electability
4.1%
J.Biden (Incumbent): If the rigors of the Office of the President dont kill off old Joe, he'll be 82 years old during the 2024 election cycle. He cannot hope to win another term by campaigning from his basement and there will be plenty of threats from the Right to unseat the aging politician who has already shown himself to be vulnerable when going off-script. In no way has he united the country under one flag, choosing instead to stand by party-true rhetoric and lambast conservatives and Republican voters alike.

H.Cinton (NY): Quickly becoming yesterday's news, the loser of 2016 attempts to remain in the spotlight by continually towing the party line. American voters chose her over Trump but key states put Trump into power in 2016 so would they want another Clinton to represent the Democratic Party ticket in 2024 with the hopes Hillary becomes the country's first female president?

K.Harris (CA): During her short stint as VP to Biden, Harris has shown little in the way of national-level leadership. 'Word Salads' aside, she has been a non-existent 'Border Czar' to control the influx of migrants pouring over the Texas and Arizona borders and a public failure to keep her own house in order has shown through - there have been notable exits from her staff in a little under two years. Is America ready for its first female president? Is there enough body of work to have Harris be a ticket-headlining vote-getter on a national level? Remember, she failed to unseat her own boss, Biden, in previous Democratic Party primaries.

B.Sanders (VT): Try as he might, poor ole Bernie will just never be President of the United States. Between advancing age and openly socialist-leanings, moderates and Independents alike will be straight up scared to do so - leaving only die-hard Democrats to support him. While he ranks relatively high on our list of potential headliners, his chances to net the ticket are slim.

G.Newsom (CA): Showcases qualities akin to a used care salesman and has direct access to a wealthy 'Power Family' in the Pelosis. The California governor had to survive a recall effort in 2021 by earning 61.9% of the vote of 12.8 million participants (this in a state of 39 million). Additionally, the Great Political Migration from the 2020 Census showed his state losing 261,902 citizens to greener pastures (if not neighboring states then Red-leaning Florida, Tennessee, and Texas) so that says something about his leadership. During COVID, Newsome joined other Democrat governors and Blue state legislatures in coming down hard on citizens to curtail the spread of the virus. Of course he'd net the Democrat votes he needs but are Independents as hot on Newsom to be their next president after Biden?

JB.Pritzker (IL): The physical embodiment of Fred Flinstone has alot in common with Newsom of California - from a Power Family awash with cash with complete support from a Blue state legislature. The Illinois governor would be a longshot to headline the Democratic Party ticket for president in 2024. His heavy-handed control of Illinois during COVID led to the state's own politically-driven exodus resulting in a loss of 113,776 citizens from the 2020 census results. Pritzker holds decent support in his own state but is less well-known (and liked) outside of it.

AOC (NY): The firebrand from NY seeks attention from anywhere she can and has a loyal local base with the real potential to scare off moderates in the process. But how would she fair at the national level? Perhaps quickly coming to terms that she is not all that well-liked outside of her own neighborhood.

P.Buttigieg (IN): The former small town mayor and Biden's Transportation Secretary simple lacks the body of work and charisma to become the headliner to the Democratic Party ticket in 2024. This all changes if the party's propoganda machine goes full bore with Pete at the center but will American voters respond in support of the country's first openly gay president? To date, no one really knows what he's accomplished in D.C.
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