The following showcase is presented under the assumption that former President Donald Trump runs again in the 2024 Presidential Election. As of August 2022, the 2024 race is the Republicans to lose. Democrats are trending relatively poorly nationally due to rising inflation and high cost-of-living for the average American. As such, the frontrunner remains Trump, who still stands as a divisive candidate with DeSantis of Florida waiting in the wings. Trump retains a considerable hold on the GOP and the DoJ raid on his estate in August of 2022 - which many on the right (and some in the middle) saw as a partisan politicalization / weaponization of the DoJ - has only served to galvanize support for the former President in a possible 2024 run.
Outliers remain former Vice President Mike Pence, Nikki Haley of South Carolina, and Tom Cotton of Arkansas.
Based on our algorithm, the top Republican candidates are Sununu (6.7%), DeSantis (6.5%), Cotton (6.5%), and Trump (6.2%).
