The True Approval Rating - or T.A.R. - utilizes our in-house formula to generate the current approval rating of the acting president. Unlike traditional polling, the TAR formila utilizes the candidate's election winning percentage as a starting point, only integrating polling values from leading polling sources thereafter. In this way, the approval rating takes into account the candidate's base favorability which is then modified by current Democratic, Republic, and Independent voter support. The result, we fell, is a more accurate view of the current approval rating of the president.
The area chart below compares Biden 2021 to Trump 2017, the first year of each respective President's term.
Over the course of his first year in office, Trump - who began his term will a low TAR score of 22.1 - went on to lose 3.8 points. Comparatively, Biden - beginning with a TAR score of 29.1 - has gone on to lose 6.4 points of overall support in the same span.