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Presidential Voting History of New Hampshire (Since 1960)


The Electoral Voting history of the great state of New Hampshire



While recently reliably Democrat, New Hampshire is - by the numbers - the quintessential Swing State. It Picks the Winner 75% of the time and has gone Democrat in 8 of the 16 total Presidential Elections since 1960. Democrat power sits at 52% against the Republican's 47.8%. Republicans are outpacing Democrat numbers by only a slight margin, meaning Democrats should retain EV control in the state for the foreseeable future aside from an anomaly or two (the last Republican victory here was in 2000 for GWB).

All data is from 1960 to the present day (covering what we term to be the 'Modern Voter') and focuses solely on the Democratic and Republican party results during that span.
Trending
Battleground
State
Picking the Winner*
75.0%
(Correct in 12 of 16 elections since 1960)
Electoral Power
STABLE
(Influenced by U.S. Census data)

Democrat Victories
8
(50.0%)
(D) Average Result
52.2%
(Last Three Elections)
(D) Strength Trending**
STABLE
(Last Three Elections)
(D) Votes Net Gain
13,370
(Avg Last 3 Elections)
Republican Victories
8
(50.0%)
(R) Average Result
47.8%
(Last Three Elections)
(R) Strength Trending**
UP
(Last Three Elections)
(R) Votes Net Gain
16,375
(Avg Last 3 Elections)

3rd Pty Victories
0
(0.0%)
2020 Result
Democrat
(52.9%)
(2024 Projection)
Democrat
(51.9%)


* The states with the highest success rates selecting U.S. President are Ohio and Nevada, the pair having picked the winning candidate in 14 of the last 16 (87.5%) national elections since 1960. Those states / districts (such as Washington, D.C.) voting strictly along party lines will generally have a poorer success rate.
** Strength Trending is not a measure of total number votes available to any one party in a given state but rather overarching trending patterns observed within the last three presidential election cycles.


Average Votes
381,008
347,123
Dem +/- 62,671 :: Rep +/- 18,790
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
1960 - New Hampshire
D: 137,772
R: 157,989
Kennedy (D) vs Nixon (R)
1960 Pop: 609,000
D+R Votes: 295,761 (48.6% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +20,217
D: 46.6% | R: 53.4%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 269 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 537 overall available ECVs.
1960 Electoral Coverage 1960 Electoral Map
1964 - New Hampshire
(D) +46,292 | (R) -53,960
D: 184,064
R: 104,029
Johnson (D) vs Goldwater (R)
1964 Pop: 633,000 (Diff: 24,000)
D+R Votes: 288,093 (45.5% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +80,035
D: 63.9% | R: 36.1%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1964 Electoral Coverage 1964 Electoral Map
1968 - New Hampshire
(D) -53,475 | (R) +50,874
D: 130,589
R: 154,903
Humphrey (D) vs Nixon (R)
1968 Pop: 709,000 (Diff: 76,000)
D+R Votes: 285,492 (40.3% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +24,314
D: 45.7% | R: 54.3%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1968 Electoral Coverage 1968 Electoral Map
1972 - New Hampshire
(D) -14,154 | (R) +58,821
D: 116,435
R: 213,724
McGovern (D) vs Nixon (R)
1972 Pop: 781,107 (Diff: 72,107)
D+R Votes: 330,159 (42.3% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +97,289
D: 35.3% | R: 64.7%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1972 Electoral Coverage 1972 Electoral Map
1976 - New Hampshire
(D) +31,200 | (R) -27,789
D: 147,635
R: 185,935
Carter (D) vs Ford (R)
1976 Pop: 845,248 (Diff: 64,141)
D+R Votes: 333,570 (39.5% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +38,300
D: 44.3% | R: 55.7%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1976 Electoral Coverage 1976 Electoral Map
1980 - New Hampshire
(D) -38,771 | (R) +35,770
D: 108,864
R: 221,705
Carter (D) vs Reagan (R)
1980 Pop: 936,644 (Diff: 91,396)
D+R Votes: 330,569 (35.3% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +112,841
D: 32.9% | R: 67.1%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1980 Electoral Coverage 1980 Electoral Map


1984 - New Hampshire
(D) +11,531 | (R) +45,346
D: 120,395
R: 267,051
Mondale (D) vs Reagan (R)
1984 Pop: 996,757 (Diff: 60,113)
D+R Votes: 387,446 (38.9% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +146,656
D: 31.1% | R: 68.9%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1984 Electoral Coverage 1984 Electoral Map
1988 - New Hampshire
(D) +43,301 | (R) +14,486
D: 163,696
R: 281,537
Dukakis (D) vs H.W.Bush (R)
1988 Pop: 1,105,000 (Diff: 108,243)
D+R Votes: 445,233 (40.3% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +117,841
D: 36.8% | R: 63.2%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1988 Electoral Coverage 1988 Electoral Map
1992 - New Hampshire
(D) +45,344 | (R) -79,053
D: 209,040
R: 202,484
B.Clinton (D) vs H.W.Bush (R)
1992 Pop: 1,113,000 (Diff: 8,000)
D+R Votes: 411,524 (37.0% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +6,556
D: 50.8% | R: 49.2%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1992 Electoral Coverage 1992 Electoral Map
1996 - New Hampshire
(D) +37,174 | (R) -5,952
D: 246,214
R: 196,532
B.Clinton (D) vs Dole (R)
1996 Pop: 1,161,000 (Diff: 48,000)
D+R Votes: 442,746 (38.1% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +49,682
D: 55.6% | R: 44.4%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
1996 Electoral Coverage 1996 Electoral Map
2000 - New Hampshire
(D) +20,134 | (R) +77,027
D: 266,348
R: 273,559
Gore (D) vs W.Bush (R)
2000 Pop: 1,216,000 (Diff: 55,000)
D+R Votes: 539,907 (44.4% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +7,211
D: 49.3% | R: 50.7%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2000 Electoral Coverage 2000 Electoral Map
2004 - New Hampshire
(D) +74,163 | (R) +57,678
D: 340,511
R: 331,237
Kerry (D) vs W.Bush (R)
2004 Pop: 1,293,000 (Diff: 77,000)
D+R Votes: 671,748 (52.0% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +9,274
D: 50.7% | R: 49.3%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2004 Electoral Coverage 2004 Electoral Map
2008 - New Hampshire
(D) +44,315 | (R) -14,703
D: 384,826
R: 316,534
Obama (D) vs McCain (R)
2008 Pop: 1,321,000 (Diff: 28,000)
D+R Votes: 701,360 (53.1% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +68,292
D: 54.9% | R: 45.1%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2008 Electoral Coverage 2008 Electoral Map
2012 - New Hampshire
(D) -15,265 | (R) +13,384
D: 369,561
R: 329,918
Obama (D) vs Romney (R)
2012 Pop: 1,324,677 (Diff: 3,677)
D+R Votes: 699,479 (52.8% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +39,643
D: 52.8% | R: 47.2%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2012 Electoral Coverage 2012 Electoral Map
2016 - New Hampshire
(D) -21,035 | (R) +15,872
D: 348,526
R: 345,790
H.Clinton (D) vs Trump (R)
2016 Pop: 1,343,694 (Diff: 19,017)
D+R Votes: 694,316 (51.7% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +2,736
D: 50.2% | R: 49.8%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2016 Electoral Coverage 2016 Electoral Map
2020 - New Hampshire
(D) +76,411 | (R) +19,870
D: 424,937
R: 365,660
Biden (D) vs Trump (R)
2020 Pop: 1,366,275 (Diff: 22,581)
D+R Votes: 790,597 (57.9% of Pop)
Margin of Victory: +59,277
D: 53.7% | R: 46.3%
EC Votes (ECVs): 4
1.5% of 270 ECVs needed to win.
0.7% of 538 overall available ECVs.
2020 Electoral Coverage 2020 Electoral Map




NOTES:
1) 3rd Party votes / victories are not taken into account as the sole focus of this site is on the Democratic and Republican parties.
2) Pop = Population; These figures are derived from publicly available census figures.
3) D = Democrat/Democratic; R = Republican.
4) D+R Votes = total number of Democratic and Republican votes cast in the presidential election for that year.
5) EC = Electoral College; ECVs = Electoral College Votes.
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