2024 Election Projection Interactive Electoral Map Joe Biden Quotes Voting Trends by State Favorability Index

2020 Presidential Election

Donald Trump vs Joe Biden (November 3rd, 2020)

Winner's ribbon image graphic
Photograph of Joe Biden
Joe Biden (DE)

Occupation: Politics
Running Mate: Kamala Harris
Carried Home State (Delaware): Yes
Incumbent Status: No
Favorability Index: 242.1
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
25 of 50 states carried (50%)

Popular Vote (52.3%)
24.7% of the U.S. population supported this candidate.
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
25 of 50 states carried (50%)

Popular Vote (47.7%)
22.5% of the U.S. population supported this candidate.
Winner's ribbon image graphic
Photograph of Donald Trump
Donald Trump (FL)

Occupation: Business
Running Mate: Mike Pence
Carried Home State (Florida): Yes
Incumbent Status: Yes
Favorability Index: 247.8

U.S. Economic Ratings at Time of Election

Natl Avg Gal/Gas

Despite the media's take on the Biden victory of 2020, the race was actually a lot closer than initial numbers indicate. In Biden, the Democrats fielded the equivalent of the well-weathered coat one keeps at the back of the closet and the aging career politician needed 81.2 million votes to ouster incumbent Donald Trump from the stage. Lacking any natural charisma and inherent leadership skills all the while campaigning from the safety of his basement, Biden proved to be the 'anti-Trump' vote if nothing else, eventually claiming the victory in tight races across the critical Battleground States of Arizona (0.3%), Georgia (0.23%), Michigan (2.78%), Pennsylvania (1.17%), Wisconsin (0.63%) showcasing a clearly divided electorate (the margin in these states combined was just 277,661 votes collectively offering 73 total electoral votes between them, and these votes going on to decide the overall winner of the 2020 election).

Comparatively, these five states provided Trump with a cushion of 1,762,655 votes back in 2016 (a difference of +1,484,994 votes).

Perhaps quite surprising to the Biden campaign were the distant seconds placed in both swing states of Florida (by 371,686 votes) and Ohio (by 475,669 votes). In 2016, Hillary Clinton managed a tighter race in Florida, losing by 112,911 votes but still failed to make much headway in Ohio with a -446,841 votes difference to eventual winner Trump. As battlegrounds, the two states were expected to run much closer.

The numbers suggest this was a close race in every sense of the phrase - an election that could have been anyone's victory and not quite the landslide anticipated by the Left. Should Trump have taken Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin (a collective difference of just 42,918 votes), the election would have ended in an Electoral tie (269 v. 269). Winning Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan or Pennsylvania (176,424 and 102,791 votes, respectively) would have put him over the top - such were the razor-thin margins of this election. Of particular note is Trump doing better in 2016 across these five key swing states (380,119 votes) against Biden (277,661 votes) in 2020.

Consider Biden's Margin of Victory in Key States:
Arizona = 10,457 votes
Georgia = 11,779 votes
Michigan = 154,188 votes
Pennsylvania = 80,555 votes
Wisconsin = 20,682 votes
--- TOTAL: 277,661 ---

While the Democrats played the better smear campaign throughout 2019-2020, there is no denying that Trump certainly had his supporters even up to the end - showing that the electorate, and the nation for that matter, was not all-in on the Biden Harris ticket.
* Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do not follow the 'winner-take-all' rule regarding their Electoral Votes per candidate. This allows for a more proportional division of the claimed Electoral Votes. Any third party candidate wins (if applicable) are represented in ORANGE. See NOTES below for additional information.
Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arizona (11)
Arkansas (6)
California (55)
Colorado (9)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
Florida (29)
Georgia (16)
Hawaii (4)
Idaho (4)
Illinois (20)
Indiana (11)
Iowa (6)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Maine (3)*
Maine (1)*
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)
Nebraska (4)*
Nebraska (1)*
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
New York (29)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (18)
Oklahoma (7)
Oregon (7)
Pennsylvania (20)
Rhode Island (4)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (38)
Utah (6)
Vermont (3)
Virginia (13)
Washington (12)
West Virginia (5)
Wisconsin (10)
Wyoming (3)
Dictrict of Colombia (3)

NORTHEAST - 96 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont)
MIDWEST - 118 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin)
WEST - 128 (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming)
SOUTH - 193 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia)
SPECIAL - 3 (District of Columbia)
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