2020 Presidential Election

Donald Trump vs Joe Biden (November 3rd, 2020)

Joe Biden (DE)
Democrat

Occupation: Politics

Running Mate: Kamala Harris

Carried Home State (Delaware): Yes

Incumbent Status: No

Favorability Index: 242.1

306
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
25 of 50 states carried (50%)

81,268,924
Popular Vote (52.3%)
24.7% of the U.S. population supported this candidate.

232
Electoral Votes (270 needed to win)
25 of 50 states carried (50%)

74,216,154
Popular Vote (47.7%)
22.5% of the U.S. population supported this candidate.

Donald Trump (FL)
Republican

Occupation: Business

Running Mate: Mike Pence

Carried Home State (Florida): Yes

Incumbent Status: Yes

Favorability Index: 247.8

U.S. Economic Ratings at Time of Election

6.7%
Unemployment

-2.3%
GDP

1.25%
Inflation

$2.15
Natl Avg Gal/Gas

The Biden victory of 2020 appears to have been much closer than initial numbers indicate, boosted largely by claming most of the Battleground States of Arizona (0.3%), Georgia (0.23%), Michigan (2.78%), Pennsylvania (1.17%), Wisconsin (0.63%) showcasing a clearly divided electorate (the margin in these states combined was just 277,661 votes collectively offering 73 total electoral votes between them, and these votes going on to decide the overall winner of the 2020 election). Comparatively, these five states provided Trump with a cushion of 1,762,655 votes back in 2016 (a difference of +1,484,994 votes).

Perhaps quite surprising to the Biden campaign were the distant seconds placed in both swing states of Florida (by 371,686 votes) and Ohio (by 475,669 votes). In 2016, Hillary Clinton managed a tighter race in Florida, losing by 112,911 votes but still failed to make much headway in Ohio with a -446,841 votes difference to eventual winner Trump. As battlegrounds, the two states were expected to run much closer.

The numbers suggest this was a close race in every sense of the phrase - an election that could have been anyone's victory and not quite a landslide as anticipated. Should Trump have taken Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin (a collective difference of just 42,918 votes), the election would have ended in an Electoral tie (269 v. 269). Winning Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan or Pennsylvania (176,424 and 102,791 votes, respectively) would have put him over the top - such were the razor-thin margins of this election. Of particular note is Trump doing better in 2016 across these five key swing states (380,119 votes) against Biden (277,661 votes) in 2020.

Consider Biden's Margin of Victory in Key States:
Arizona = 10,457 votes
Georgia = 11,779 votes
Michigan = 154,188 votes
Pennsylvania = 80,555 votes
Wisconsin = 20,682 votes
--- TOTAL: 277,661 ---

STATE EC VOTES (538 TOTAL):

* Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do not follow the 'winner-take-all' rule regarding their Electoral Votes per candidate. This allows for a more proportional division of the claimed Electoral Votes. Any third party candidate wins (if applicable) are represented in ORANGE. See NOTES below for additional information.

306

232

Dictrict of Colombia (3)

TOTAL ELECTORAL VOTES AVAILABLE by REGION:

NORTHEAST - 96 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont)
MIDWEST - 118 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin)
WEST - 128 (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming)
SOUTH - 193 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia)
SPECIAL - 3 (District of Columbia)

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