RED depicts a Republican commitment for that particular voting year. BLUE depicts a Democrat commitment. ORANGE depicts an 'other', or third party, allegiance. For the purposes of this list, a 'Stronghold' party trend is defined by the winning party of a state over the last three presidential elections. A 'Swing State' is defined as a state in which allegiances have changed over the last three elections.
Using our in-house formula, the current model suggests Swing States being Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
The same model considers 'firmly' Democratic strongholds to be California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington state (and also Washington, D.C.).
Conversely, those strongholds considered 'firmly' Republican are Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming.
