AmericanPresidents.net site logo image
HOME


Electoral Voting History by State


In U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1960


RED depicts a Republican commitment for that particular voting year. BLUE depicts a Democrat commitment. ORANGE depicts an 'other', or third party, allegiance. For the purposes of this list, a 'Stronghold' party trend is defined by the winning party of a state over the last three presidential elections. A 'Swing State' is defined as a state in which allegiances have changed over the last three elections.

Using our in-house formula, the current model suggests Swing States being Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

The same model considers 'firmly' Democratic strongholds to be California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington state (and also Washington, D.C.).

Conversely, those strongholds considered 'firmly' Republican are Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming.




ALABAMA (9)
Rep: 12 (80%); Dem: 1 (6.7%); Other: (13.3%)
Alabama is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
1,280,242
Growth stable graphic
Growth down graphic
779,574
Rep +/- 62,330 | Dem +/- 83,932

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


ALASKA (3)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%)
Alaska is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending downwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
173,968
Growth down graphic
Growth down graphic
120,896
Rep +/- 30,454 | Dem +/- 7,140

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


ARIZONA (11)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%)
Arizona is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,238,722
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
1,073,702
Rep +/- 22,290 | Dem +/- 9,475

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


ARKANSAS (6)
Rep: 9 (60.0%); Dem: 5 (33.3%); Other: 1 (6.7%)
Arkansas is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.

Votes Average:
656,878
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
399,071
Rep +/- 46,855 | Dem +/- 41,816

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


CALIFORNIA (55)
Rep: 7 (46.6%); Dem: 8 (53.3%)
California is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
8,294,182
Growth stable graphic
Growth down graphic
4,778,516
Dem +/- 899,503 | Rep +/- 527,971

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


COLORADO (9)
Rep: 10 (66.6%); Dem: 5 (33.3%)
Colorado is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending upwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
1,316,868
Growth up graphic
Growth up graphic
1,153,785
Dem +/- 50,237 | Rep +/- 128,855

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


CONNECTICUT (7)
Rep: 5 (33.3%); Dem: 10 (66.6%)
Connecticut is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
933,476
Growth stable graphic
Growth up graphic
645,845
Dem +/- 100,201 | Rep +/- 43,787

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


DELAWARE (3)
Rep: 4 (26.7%); Dem: 11 (73.3%)
Delaware is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
244,549
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
167,662
Dem +/- 19,856 | Rep +/- 32,753

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA (D.C.) (3)
Rep: 0 (0.0%); Dem: 14 (100.0%%);
D.C. is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a very low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending upwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
265,233
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
17,157
Dem +/- 37,030 | Rep +/- 8,658

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


FLORIDA (29)
Rep: 10 (66.7%); Dem: 5 (33.3%)
Florida is trending as a Swing State which makes it significant due to the number of Electoral Votes it carries (winner-take-all format). Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Republican. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
4,341,699
Growth stable graphic
Growth up graphic
4,275,851
Dem +/- 267,219 | Rep +/- 571,677

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


GEORGIA (16)
Rep: 10 (66.7%); Dem: 4 (26.6%); Other: 1 (6.7%)
Georgia is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
2,072,184
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
1,831,971
Rep +/- 40,345 | Dem +/- 104,136

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


HAWAII (4)
Rep: 2 (13.3%); Dem: 13 (86.7%);
Hawaii is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
299,807
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
123,476
Dem +/- 58,980 | Rep +/- 8,281

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


IDAHO (4)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Idaho is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
410,933
Growth stable graphic
Growth down graphic
212,997
Rep +/- 17,899 | Dem +/- 46,675

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


ILLINOIS (20)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%);
Illinois is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
3,176,530
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
2,104,137
Dem +/- 328,619 | Rep +/- 114,836

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


INDIANA (11)
Rep: 13 (86.7%); Dem: 2 (13.3%);
Indiana is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
1,441,159
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
1,186,684
Rep +/- 211,638 | Dem +/- 340,913

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


IOWA (6)
Rep: 8 (53.3%); Dem: 7 (46.7%);
Iowa is trending as a Swing State. Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Republican. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
768,384
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
737,993
Dem +/- 175,271 | Rep +/- 118,604

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


KANSAS (6)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Kansas is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending downwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
686,827
Growth down graphic
Growth down graphic
460,559
Rep +/- 28,637 | Dem +/- 87,760

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


KENTUCKY (8)
Rep: 11 (73.3%); Dem: 1 (26.7%);
Kentucky is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,112,874
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
786,736
Rep +/- 154,509 | Dem +/- 249,484

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


LOUISIANA (8)
Rep: 10 (66.7%); Dem: 4 (26.7%); Other: 1 (6.7%)
Louisiana is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,159,725
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
790,761
Rep +/- 30,363 | Dem +/- 28,987

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MAINE (4)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%)
Maine is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
393,655
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
307,714
Dem +/- 64,188 | Rep +/- 43,317

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MARYLAND (10)
Rep: 3 (20.0%); Dem: 12 (60.0%)
Maryland is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending upwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,661,746
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
958,300
Dem +/- 48,461 | Rep +/- 28,700

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MASSACHUSETTS (11)
Rep: 2 (13.3%); Dem: 12 (86.7%)
Massachusetts is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending upwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
1,940,195
Growth up graphic
Growth up graphic
1,129,354
Dem +/- 91,098 | Rep +/- 97,421

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MICHIGAN (16)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%)
Michigan is trending as a Swing State which makes it significant due to the number of Electoral Votes it carries (winner-take-all format). Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Democratic. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
2,597,029
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
2,146,401
Dem +/- 598,841 | Rep +/- 235,138

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MINNESOTA (10)
Rep: 1 (6.7%); Dem: 14 (93.3%)
Minnesota is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
1,495,746
Growth up graphic
Growth up graphic
1,306,195
Dem +/- 205,638 | Rep +/- 47,542

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MISSISSIPPI (6)
Rep: 12 (80.0%); Dem: 1 (6.7%); Other: 2 (13.3%)
Mississippi is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending downwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
712,019
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
534,247
Rep +/- 23,883 | Dem +/- 77,818

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MISSOURI (10)
Rep: 12 (66.7%); Dem: 5 (33.3%);
Missouri is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
1,507,588
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
1,245,592
Rep +/- 148,697 | Dem +/- 370,843

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


MONTANA (3)
Rep: 13 (86.6%); Dem: 2 (13.3%);
Montana is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
263,683
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
203,902
Rep +/- 35,358 | Dem +/- 54,450

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEBRASKA (5)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Nebraska is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
474,668
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
306,631
Rep +/- 42,982 | Dem +/- 48,825

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEVADA (6)
Rep: 8 (53.3%); Dem: 7 (46.7%);
Nevada is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
534,790
Growth stable graphic
Growth stable graphic
462,817
Dem +/- 7,887 | Rep +/- 99,231

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEW HAMPSHIRE (4)
Rep: 8 (53.3%); Dem: 7 (46.7%);
New Hampwhire is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
367,638
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
330,747
Dem +/- 36,300 | Rep +/- 29,256

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEW JERSEY (14)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%);
New Jersey is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
2,162,934
Growth down graphic
Growth down graphic
1,564,236
Dem +/- 90,321 | Rep +/- 135,639

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEW MEXICO (5)
Rep: 7 (46.7%); Dem: 8 (53.3%);
New Mexico is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
424,330
Growth down graphic
Growth down graphic
334,096
Dem +/- 87,188 | Rep +/- 27,165

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NEW YORK (29)
Rep: 3 (20.0%); Dem: 8 (80.0%);
New York is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
4,615,649
Growth stable graphic
Growth stable graphic
2,687,600
Dem +/- 319,068 | Rep +/- 329,038

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NORTH CAROLINA (15)
Rep: 11 (73.3%); Dem: 4 (26.7%);
North Carolina is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
2,253,833
Growth up graphic
Growth up graphic
2,170,119
Rep +/- 234,157 | Dem +/- 46,665

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


NORTH DAKOTA (3)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
North Dakota is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending Upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
191,334
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
120,042
Rep +/- 47,907 | Dem +/- 47,645

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


OHIO (18)
Rep: 9 (60.0%); Dem: 6 (40.0%);
Ohio is trending as a Swing State which makes it significant due to the number of Electoral Votes it carries (winner-take-all format). Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Republican. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
2,726,754
Growth stable graphic
Growth up graphic
2,720,639
Rep +/- 179,568 | Dem +/- 545,880

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


OKLAHOMA (7)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Oklahoma is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
933,542
Growth stable graphic
Growth down graphic
455,473
Rep +/- 68,840 | Dem +/- 82,121

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


OREGON (7)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%);
Oregon is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
1,003,295
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
759,684
Dem +/- 66,803 | Rep +/- 43,928

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


PENNSYLVANIA (20)
Rep: 5 (33.3%); Dem: 10 (66.7%);
Pennsylvania is trending as a Swing State. Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Democratic. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending upwards.


Votes Average:
3,064,359
Growth down graphic
Growth up graphic
2,769,017
Dem +/- 349,922 | Rep +/- 314,848

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


RHODE ISLAND (4)
Rep: 2 (13.3%); Dem: 13 (86.7%);
Rhode Island is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
276,258
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
167,713
Dem +/- 44,046 | Rep +/- 23,339

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


SOUTH CAROLINA (9)
Rep: 13 (86.7%); Dem: 2 (13.3%);
South Carolina is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,087,310
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
861,254
Rep +/- 120,493 | Dem +/- 3,492

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


SOUTH DAKOTA (3)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
South Dakota is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
213,795
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
144,474
Rep +/- 24,667 | Dem +/- 53,466

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


TENNESSEE (11)
Rep: 11 (73.3%); Dem: 4 (26.7%); Tennessee is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending downwards.

Votes Average:
1,488,144
Growth stable graphic
Growth down graphic
972,947
Rep +/- 60,595 | Dem +/- 216,742

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


TEXAS (38)
Rep: 11 (73.3%); Dem: 4 (26.7%); Texas is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending stable.

Votes Average:
4,578,073
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
3,571,542
Rep +/- 205,719 | Dem +/- 569,744

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


UTAH (6)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Utah is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
617,287
Growth stable graphic
Growth stable graphic
296,720
Rep +/- 225,369 | Dem +/- 75,857

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


VERMONT (3)
Rep: 7 (46.7%); Dem: 8 (53.3%);
Vermont is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
103,344
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
95,680
Dem +/- 40,689 | Rep +/- 29,256

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


VIRGINIA (13)
Rep: 11 (73.3%); Dem: 4 (26.7%);
Virginia is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending upwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,970,942
Growth up graphic
Growth stable graphic
1,772,323
Dem +/- 21,941 | Rep +/- 97,517

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


WASHINGTON (12)
Rep: 5 (33.3%); Dem: 10 (66.7%);
Washington is trending as a Democratic Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Republican in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending stable while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,749,654
Growth stable graphic
Growth stable graphic
1,247,211
Dem +/- 12,678 | Rep +/- 68,923

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


WEST VIRGINIA (5)
Rep: 7 (46.7%); Dem: 8 (53.3%);
West Virginia is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending stable while Democratic strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
375,035
Growth stable graphic
Growth stable graphic
303,435
Rep +/- 251,102 | Dem +/- 228,861

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


WISCONSIN (10)
Rep: 6 (40.0%); Dem: 9 (60.0%);
Wisconsin is trending as a Swing State. Recent history sides Democratic. Long-term history sides Democratic. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a equal chance of going to either party in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Democratic strength is trending downwards while Republican strength is trending stable.


Votes Average:
1,560,244
Growth down graphic
Growth stable graphic
1,358,548
Dem +/- 294,675 | Rep +/- 145,573

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016


WYOMING (3)
Rep: 14 (93.3%); Dem: 1 (6.7%);
Wyoming is trending as a Republican Stronghold. Based on the last three presidential elections (2008, 2012, 2016), it has a low probability of going Democrat in the upcoming 2020 election. Based on recorded votes in the state over this span, Republican strength is trending upwards while Democratic strength is trending downwards.


Votes Average:
170,113
Growth up graphic
Growth down graphic
69,376
Rep +/- 9,461 | Dem +/- 26,895

1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016