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Voting Trends by State Interactive Electoral Map 2020 Election 2016 Election 2012 Election 2008 Election 2004 Election 2000 Election

Candidate Favorability Index


A By-the-Numbers Approach




The Favorability Index - or 'FavIndx' - applies a numerical value to a presidential candidate based on total number of states won and the overall victory spread of a given state. The results provide a candidate's 'favorability' rating, showing just how popular (or unpopular) he/she was at the moment of victory. Generally, the larger the state victories the greater the score. However, in some races - particularly close ones - the losing candidate may score better than the winning candidate.

Two of the best performers are Richard Nixon (1972) and Ronald Reagon (1984) while two of the worst performers are their counterparts, George McGovern (1972) and Walter Mondale (1984). The highest possible FavIndx rating achieved is by Republican Richard Nixon in the 1972 campaign with a score of 1355.5. When averaged out, Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush are the top-performing Republican candidates while Bill Clinton and Barack Obama are the two top Democratic candidates. Both Reagan, Bush, and Clinton (Bill) all scored better in their second campaigns whereas Obama scored better in his first outing.

For the 2020 election, Republican candidate Donald Trump (248.1) slipped in the FavIndx from his 2016 showing (347.3) against Democratic challenger Hillary Clinton (166.1) - but still managed to edge out Democratic challenger (and eventual winner) Joe Biden (241.6).
[ W ] Richard Nixon (1972)
1355.5
[ W ] Ronald Reagan (1984)
1078.1
[ W ] Lyndon Johnson (1964)
990.3
[ W ] Ronald Reagan (1980)
653.8
[ W ] Goerge H.W. Bush (1988)
454.0
[ W ] Donald Trump (2016)
347.3
[ W ] George W. Bush (2004)
342.5
[ W ] Barack Obama (2008)
322.8
[ W ] Bill Clinton (1996)
298.4
[ W ] Bill Clinton (1992)
280.5
[ W ] George W. Bush (2000)
269.9
[ W ] Barack Obama (2012)
255.6
[ L ] Donald Trump (2020)
248.1
[ W ] Joe Biden (2020)
241.6
[ L ] Mitt Romney (2012)
229.8
[ L ] Hillary Clinton (2016)
166.1
[ L ] John McCain (2008)
142.0
[ W ] Jimmy Carter (1976)
136.0
[ L ] Al Gore (2000)
129.0
[ L ] Richard Nixon (1960)
128.5
[ L ] Gerald Ford (1976)
123.5
[ L ] John Kerry (2004)
104.4
[ L ] Bob Dole (1996)
102.5
[ W ] John F. Kennedy (1960)
92.6
[ L ] George H.W. Bush (1992)
91.2
[ L ] Hubert Humphrey (1968)
87.9
[ L ] Michael Dukakis (1988)
29.4
[ L ] Barry Goldwater (1964)
18.1
[ L ] Jimmy Carter (1980)
15.4
[ L ] Walter Mondale (1984)
2.8
[ L ] George McGovern (1972)
2.6
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Interactive Electoral Map Electoral Voting Data by State Candidate Favorability Index American Presidents


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