State Presidential Success Rates

Listing of States Based on Picking the Right Leader for the Job

The following is a listing of American states based on their respective success rates at picking the winning president (since 1960). The leaders are Nevada and Ohio at 87.5%, making them true battleground / swing states in any given election. As swing states go, Arizona is the poorest performer at 56.3%. The poorest overall rate is held by the District of Columbia (D.C.) with a success rate of just 43.8% (namely due to the fact that it tends to vote strictly along the Democratic Party line). The top ranking Democratic and Republican states are Delware and New Mexico / Missouri, respectively, these having a success rate of 81.3%.

In the listing below, Red states are those typically leaning Republican while Blue represent Democratic leaners. Black states are those considered 'Battleground' or 'Swing States' in any given presidential election cycle.

Nevada (14/16)

87.5%

Ohio (14/16)

87.5%

Delaware (13/16)

81.3%

Florida (13/16)

81.3%

Missouri (13/16)

81.3%

New Mexico (13/16)

81.3%

Pennsylvania (13/16)

81.3%

Colorado (12/16)

75.0%

Illinois (12/16)

75.0%

Kentucky (12/16)

75.0%

Michigan (12/16)

75.0%

New Hampshire (12/16)

75.0%

New Jersey (12/16)

75.0%

North Carolina (12/16)

75.0%

Tennessee (12/16)

75.0%

Wisconsin (12/16)

75.0%

California (11/16)

68.8%

Connecticut (11/16)

68.8%

Georgia (11/16)

68.8%

Iowa (11/16)

68.8%

Louisiana (11/16)

68.8%

Maryland (11/16)

68.8%

Massachusetts (11/16)

68.8%

New York (11/16)

68.8%

Oregon (11/16)

68.8%

Vermont (11/16)

68.8%

Virginia (11/16)

68.8%

Washington (11/16)

68.8%

Hawaii (10/16)

62.5%

Indiana (10/16)

62.5%

Maine (10/16)

62.5%

Montana (10/16)

62.5%

Rhode Island (10/16)

62.5%

South Carolina (10/16)

62.5%

Texas (10/16)

62.5%

West Virginia (10/16)

62.5%

Alabama (9/16)

56.3%

Alaska (9/16)

56.3%

Arizona (9/16)

56.3%

Arkansas (9/16)

56.3%

Idaho (9/16)

56.3%

Kansas (9/16)

56.3%

Minnesota (9/16)

56.3%

Mississippi (9/16)

56.3%

Nebraska (9/16)

56.3%

North Dakota (9/16)

56.3%

Oklahoma (9/16)

56.3%

South Dakota (9/16)

56.3%

Utah (9/16)

56.3%

Wyoming (9/16)

56.3%

District of Columbia (7/16)

43.8%

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